ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Robin Catry

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

68.34%

Robin Catry

France

31.66%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.21

Market probability

77.82% / 22.18%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1695 vs 1489), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1586 vs 1522) and more wins on hard courts (69 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1695.1 Elo 1488.9

1585.7 Elo (surface) 1522.4

336 Wins (Challenger) 20

155 Wins (surface) 17

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.217 Dominance ratio 1.166

355 Rank 586

36.2 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

36 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Robin Catry

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Robin Catry

1st Serve In %

58.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

55.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

77.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Robin Catry

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

68.7%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

33.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos and Robin Catry have never played each other.

Norbert Gombos vs Robin Catry — Prediction