ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Mickael Kaouk

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

84.65%

Mickael Kaouk

France

15.35%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.60

Market probability

74.07% / 25.93%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1692 vs 1406), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1581 vs 1364) and more career match wins (335 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1692.3 Elo 1406.0

1580.7 Elo (surface) 1364.4

335 Wins (Challenger) 1

154 Wins (surface) 0

11 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.217 Dominance ratio 1.016

355 Rank 914

36.2 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mickael Kaouk

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Mickael Kaouk

1st Serve In %

58.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Mickael Kaouk

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos and Mickael Kaouk have never played each other.

Norbert Gombos vs Mickael Kaouk — Prediction