ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Matyas Cerny

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

81.24%

Matyas Cerny

Czech Republic

18.76%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.31

Market probability

71.80% / 28.20%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1650 vs 1377), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1643 vs 1389) and more wins on clay courts (168 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1649.6 Elo 1377.4

1643.2 Elo (surface) 1389.2

323 Wins (Challenger) 10

168 Wins (surface) 9

11 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.227 Dominance ratio 1.272

423 Rank 700

36.0 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Matyas Cerny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Matyas Cerny

1st Serve In %

58.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Matyas Cerny

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

43.6%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos 0 – 0 Matyas Cerny

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Norbert Gombos #423

Matyas Cerny #700

6-1 4-6 6-2

6 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 3

85 Service Points 70

57 First Serve In 37

41 First Serve Won 23

14 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Norbert Gombos vs Matyas Cerny — Prediction