ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Kilian Feldbausch

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

30.78%

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

69.22%

Average Odds

4.00 / 1.22

Market probability

23.37% / 76.63%

Why This Prediction?

Kilian Feldbausch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1757 vs 1660), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1757 vs 1659) and a stronger return game (47.6% vs 43.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1660.2 Elo 1756.8

1659.1 Elo (surface) 1756.6

325 Wins (Challenger) 63

170 Wins (surface) 58

11 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.235 Dominance ratio 1.270

423 Rank 242

36.0 Age 20.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Kilian Feldbausch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Kilian Feldbausch

1st Serve In %

58.1%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Kilian Feldbausch

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos 0 – 1 Kilian Feldbausch

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-31

QF

Norbert Gombos #423

Kilian Feldbausch #242

4-6 6-1 6-1

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 4

76 Service Points 71

43 First Serve In 52

28 First Serve Won 30

20 Second Serve Won 7

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4 Average Odds 1.2

Clay Menorca CH · 2025-03-31

Q2

Kilian Feldbausch #536

Norbert Gombos #401

4-6 6-4 5-2 RET

3 Aces 2

7 Double Faults 3

90 Service Points 82

59 First Serve In 48

37 First Serve Won 31

17 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Norbert Gombos vs Kilian Feldbausch — Prediction