ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Filip Cristian Jianu

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

64.24%

Filip Cristian Jianu

Romania

35.76%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.26

Market probability

58.85% / 41.15%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1639 vs 1516), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1630 vs 1543) and a stronger serve (68.6% vs 58.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1639.1 Elo 1515.9

1630.5 Elo (surface) 1543.4

320 Wins (Challenger) 116

165 Wins (surface) 95

9 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.155 Dominance ratio 0.941

366 Rank 279

35.9 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Filip Cristian Jianu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Filip Cristian Jianu

1st Serve In %

58.1%

75.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Filip Cristian Jianu

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

58.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos 1 – 0 Filip Cristian Jianu

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Norbert Gombos #366

Filip Cristian Jianu #279

4-3

0 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

30 Service Points 19

14 First Serve In 8

9 First Serve Won 7

7 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Banja Luka CH · 2023-08-07

R32

Norbert Gombos #229

Filip Cristian Jianu #302

7-6(0) 6-2

3 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 0

58 Service Points 73

36 First Serve In 52

27 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Norbert Gombos vs Filip Cristian Jianu — Prediction