ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Dominic Stricker

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

30.38%

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

69.62%

Average Odds

2.90 / 1.37

Market probability

32.08% / 67.92%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1729 vs 1645), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1663 vs 1639) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1644.7 Elo 1729.1

1639.3 Elo (surface) 1663.0

321 Wins (Challenger) 82

166 Wins (surface) 27

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.053 Dominance ratio 1.182

366 Rank 357

35.9 Age 23.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Dominic Stricker

1st Serve In %

58.1%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Dominic Stricker

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos 0 – 0 Dominic Stricker

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-23

R16

Dominic Stricker #357

Norbert Gombos #366

6-1 6-3

3 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 1

46 Service Points 57

32 First Serve In 30

19 First Serve Won 23

4 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Norbert Gombos vs Dominic Stricker — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos — Last 10

Dominic Stricker — Last 10