ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Andrea De Marchi

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

83.94%

Andrea De Marchi

Italy

16.06%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.43

Market probability

79.11% / 20.89%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1684 vs 1492), a higher Elo rating (1678 vs 1485) and more wins on clay courts (176 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1678.0 Elo 1485.1

1684.0 Elo (surface) 1492.0

331 Wins (Challenger) 1

176 Wins (surface) 1

12 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.980 Dominance ratio 0.910

361 Rank -

36.0 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Andrea De Marchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Andrea De Marchi

1st Serve In %

58.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

55.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Andrea De Marchi

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

70.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos 0 – 0 Andrea De Marchi

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Norbert Gombos #369

Andrea De Marchi #-

6-3 7-5

9 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

58 Service Points 60

33 First Serve In 40

26 First Serve Won 23

16 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.4

Norbert Gombos vs Andrea De Marchi — Prediction