ATP tennis predict — Noah Zamora vs Karl Poling

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Noah Zamora

USA

27.43%

Karl Poling

USA

72.57%

Average Odds

2.06 / 1.69

Market probability

45.07% / 54.93%

Why This Prediction?

Karl Poling is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1552 vs 1447), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1561 vs 1452) and more wins on hard courts (22 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1447.0 Elo 1552.0

1452.2 Elo (surface) 1561.3

2 Wins (Challenger) 32

2 Wins (surface) 22

2 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.089 Dominance ratio 1.063

866 Rank 508

23.4 Age 27.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Noah Zamora

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Karl Poling

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Noah Zamora Karl Poling

1st Serve In %

—

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

19.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

32.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

51.4%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.1%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Noah Zamora Karl Poling

Break Points Saved %

—

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

57.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Noah Zamora and Karl Poling have never played each other.

Noah Zamora vs Karl Poling — Prediction