ATP tennis predict — Noah Karma vs Kai Wehnelt

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Noah Karma

Switzerland

18.34%

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

81.66%

Average Odds

2.94 / 1.31

Market probability

30.82% / 69.18%

Why This Prediction?

Kai Wehnelt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1525 vs 1370), a higher Elo rating (1444 vs 1330) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1329.7 Elo 1444.1

1369.6 Elo (surface) 1525.4

0 Wins (Challenger) 26

0 Wins (surface) 16

0 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 0.909

1416 Rank 619

None Age 30.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Noah Karma

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Noah Karma Kai Wehnelt

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

73.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.7%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.6%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Noah Karma Kai Wehnelt

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

45.5%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Noah Karma 0 – 0 Kai Wehnelt

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Kai Wehnelt #625

Noah Karma #1375

6-2 6-7 6-3

2 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 3

107 Service Points 83

61 First Serve In 52

38 First Serve Won 42

25 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Noah Karma vs Kai Wehnelt — Prediction