ATP tennis predict — Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

53.36%

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

46.64%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.45

Market probability

72.48% / 27.52%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1747.9 Elo 1633.1

1552.3 Elo (surface) 1625.4

37 Wins 33

30 Wins (surface) 27

11 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.884 Dominance ratio 0.923

163 Rank 180

21.3 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Tristan Schoolkate

1st Serve In %

59.3%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Tristan Schoolkate

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nishesh Basavareddy 1 – 0 Tristan Schoolkate

Hard US Open · 2026-09-01

1. round

Tristan Schoolkate #180

Nishesh Basavareddy #163

7-6 3-6 6-3 6-4

16 Aces 25

7 Double Faults 4

113 Service Points 127

67 First Serve In 78

55 First Serve Won 66

27 Second Serve Won 24

6 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 4

56 Winners 57

31 Unforced Errors 28

3.5 Average Odds 1.3

Hard Winston-Salem · 2025-08-17

Q2

Nishesh Basavareddy #106

Tristan Schoolkate #97

6-4 6-3

5 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 3

51 Service Points 75

29 First Serve In 41

24 First Serve Won 27

12 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 8

2 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate — Prediction