ATP tennis predict — Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mees Rottgering

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 1. round 00:35

Predicted probability

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

62.54%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

37.46%

Average Odds

1.34 / 3.04

Market probability

69.41% / 30.59%

Why This Prediction?

Nishesh Basavareddy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1861 vs 1761), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1793 vs 1725) and more wins on hard courts (30 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1861.2 Elo 1761.5

1793.1 Elo (surface) 1724.9

73 Wins (Challenger) 11

62 Wins (surface) 8

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 0.834

167 Rank 335

21.4 Age 19.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

59.3%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nishesh Basavareddy 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-23

1. round

Nishesh Basavareddy #167

Mees Rottgering #335

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

17 First Serve Won 21

15 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 10

2 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.0

Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction