ATP tennis predict — Nishesh Basavareddy vs Keaton Hance

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

92.22%

Keaton Hance

USA

7.78%

Average Odds

1.02 / 4.61

Market probability

81.88% / 18.12%

Why This Prediction?

Nishesh Basavareddy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1861 vs 1467), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1793 vs 1500) and more career match wins (73 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1861.2 Elo 1467.3

1793.1 Elo (surface) 1500

73 Wins (Challenger) 0

62 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 0.850

167 Rank 865

21.4 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Keaton Hance

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Keaton Hance

1st Serve In %

59.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.62

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.59

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Keaton Hance

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

77.8%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nishesh Basavareddy and Keaton Hance have never played each other.

Nishesh Basavareddy vs Keaton Hance — Prediction