ATP tennis predict — Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · 1. round 00:00

Predicted probability

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

83.32%

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

16.68%

Average Odds

1.13 / 5.39

Market probability

82.67% / 17.33%

Why This Prediction?

Nishesh Basavareddy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1809 vs 1600), a higher Elo rating (1877 vs 1691) and more wins on hard courts (30 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1876.5 Elo 1690.7

1809.3 Elo (surface) 1599.7

72 Wins (Challenger) 45

61 Wins (surface) 10

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 1.044

151 Rank 304

21.4 Age 29.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

1st Serve In %

59.3%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

34.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

75.8%

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

54.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nishesh Basavareddy 0 – 0 Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

Nishesh Basavareddy #151

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #304

6-2 6-2

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

13 First Serve Won 15

11 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.7

Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes — Prediction