ATP tennis predict — Nishesh Basavareddy vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · QF 02:30

Predicted probability

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

68.47%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

31.53%

Average Odds

1.32 / 3.16

Market probability

70.54% / 29.46%

Why This Prediction?

Nishesh Basavareddy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1872 vs 1761), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1807 vs 1748) and a stronger return game (44.4% vs 35.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1872.5 Elo 1760.9

1806.9 Elo (surface) 1747.8

74 Wins (Challenger) 77

63 Wins (surface) 42

11 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 0.791

167 Rank 206

21.4 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

59.3%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nishesh Basavareddy Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

50.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nishesh Basavareddy 1 – 0 Andres Andrade

Clay Savannah CH · 2026-04-20

QF

Nishesh Basavareddy #177

Andres Andrade #217

6-3 6-2

0 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 7

50 Service Points 49

28 First Serve In 28

19 First Serve Won 15

13 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nishesh Basavareddy vs Andres Andrade — Prediction