ATP tennis predict — Nino Ehrenschneider vs Christopher Papa

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Nino Ehrenschneider

Germany

43.13%

Christopher Papa

USA

56.87%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.44

Market probability

72.88% / 27.12%

Why This Prediction?

Christopher Papa is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1450 vs 1423), a stronger serve (66.6% vs 58.1% of service points won) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 2).

Player Comparison

1423.3 Elo 1450.2

1481.9 Elo (surface) 1418.0

2 Wins (Challenger) 6

2 Wins (surface) 1

2 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.654 Dominance ratio 1.136

599 Rank 1046

25.4 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nino Ehrenschneider

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Christopher Papa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nino Ehrenschneider Christopher Papa

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

54.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nino Ehrenschneider Christopher Papa

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

68.4%

Break Points Converted %

27.8%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nino Ehrenschneider 0 – 0 Christopher Papa

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Nino Ehrenschneider #608

Christopher Papa #1053

7-5 7-6

8 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 1

74 Service Points 100

50 First Serve In 54

39 First Serve Won 32

14 Second Serve Won 26

2 Break Points Saved 12

3 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Nino Ehrenschneider vs Christopher Papa — Prediction