ATP tennis predict — Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Federico Cina

ATP Hard Chengdu · qualification - quarterfinal 08:30

Predicted probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Georgia

37.06%

Federico Cina

Italy

62.94%

Average Odds

2.38 / 1.55

Market probability

39.44% / 60.56%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Cina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1732 vs 1696), fewer double faults per game (0.18 vs 0.30) and a stronger return game (39.5% vs 35.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1750.8 Elo 1747.7

1696.5 Elo (surface) 1732.4

247 Wins 14

142 Wins (surface) 7

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.919 Dominance ratio 1.066

145 Rank 170

34.6 Age 19.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikoloz Basilashvili Federico Cina

1st Serve In %

57.9%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

51.4%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikoloz Basilashvili Federico Cina

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikoloz Basilashvili 0 – 0 Federico Cina

Hard Chengdu · 2026-09-23

qualification - quarterfinal

Nikoloz Basilashvili #145

Federico Cina #170

6-3 6-2

4 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 13

14 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.6

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Federico Cina — Prediction