ATP tennis predict — Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · F 12:00

Predicted probability

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

43.09%

Thiago Monteiro

Brazil

56.91%

Average Odds

1.82 / 1.89

Market probability

50.94% / 49.06%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Monteiro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1789 vs 1720), a higher Elo rating (1786 vs 1711) and a stronger serve (65.4% vs 59.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1711.3 Elo 1785.6

1719.7 Elo (surface) 1788.6

134 Wins (Challenger) 258

131 Wins (surface) 244

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.109 Dominance ratio 1.143

233 Rank 282

27.5 Age 32.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Thiago Monteiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-07-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Thiago Monteiro

1st Serve In %

66.7%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.6%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Thiago Monteiro

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

51.4%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 0 – 0 Thiago Monteiro

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-20

F

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #154

Thiago Monteiro #225

4-6 6-3 7-6

10 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

52 First Serve Won 47

18 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Thiago Monteiro — Prediction