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Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — Prediction

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.22  /  3.66

Market probability

75.00%  /  25.00%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1597 vs 1488), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1629 vs 1516) and a stronger return game (44.5% vs 38.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1596.9 Elo 1488.1
1628.5 Elo (surface) 1516.2
130 Wins (Challenger) 141
127 Wins (surface) 131
8 Last 15 form 9
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.110 Dominance ratio 0.988
220 Rank 434
27.5 Age 27.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

1st Serve In %

66.7%
61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%
61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%
52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%
24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%
44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%
71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.6%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%
48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.27
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Break Points Saved %

62.2%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%
38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

51.4%
41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 12 Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-08
6 Aces 5
4 Double Faults 1
92 Service Points 106
61 First Serve In 57
39 First Serve Won 34
12 Second Serve Won 21
9 Break Points Saved 7
15 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.7 Average Odds 1.2
Clay Tigre 2 CH · 2026-02-23
1 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 0
46 Service Points 47
27 First Serve In 30
22 First Serve Won 19
14 Second Serve Won 9
0 Break Points Saved 2
0 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Cordenons CH · 2025-08-04
3 Aces 0
6 Double Faults 5
85 Service Points 82
48 First Serve In 49
32 First Serve Won 33
18 Second Serve Won 10
2 Break Points Saved 7
5 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Porto Alegre CH · 2025-04-28
5 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 2
95 Service Points 92
49 First Serve In 66
32 First Serve Won 35
20 Second Serve Won 15
6 Break Points Saved 2
13 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Last 10

W W W W W L L L L W

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W L