ATP tennis predict — Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Miguel Damas

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

67.35%

Miguel Damas

Spain

32.65%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.50

Market probability

62.81% / 37.19%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1614 vs 1490), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1647 vs 1516) and more wins on clay courts (127 vs 53).

Player Comparison

1614.1 Elo 1489.9

1646.5 Elo (surface) 1516.1

130 Wins (Challenger) 65

127 Wins (surface) 53

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.079 Dominance ratio 1.053

220 Rank 316

27.5 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Miguel Damas

1st Serve In %

66.7%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

53.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.6%

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Miguel Damas

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

46.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

51.4%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 0 – 1 Miguel Damas

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Miguel Damas #316

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #220

7-5 1-6 7-5

4 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 5

99 Service Points 110

60 First Serve In 70

34 First Serve Won 38

20 Second Serve Won 16

8 Break Points Saved 8

15 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Madrid CH · 2023-04-10

R32

Miguel Damas #747

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #337

6-4 6-4

0 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 72

47 First Serve In 55

31 First Serve Won 33

9 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Miguel Damas — Prediction