ATP tennis predict — Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrva

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · R16 17:30

Predicted probability

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

48.53%

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

51.47%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.16

Market probability

56.99% / 43.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1639.1 Elo 1650.1

1660.0 Elo (surface) 1653.7

130 Wins (Challenger) 46

127 Wins (surface) 31

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.074 Dominance ratio 1.189

214 Rank 317

27.4 Age 19.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Maxim Mrva

1st Serve In %

66.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.20

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.6%

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Maxim Mrva

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

47.9%

Break Points Converted %

51.4%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1 – 0 Maxim Mrva

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-12

R16

Maxim Mrva #317

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #214

3-6 6-4 6-4

2 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 7

84 Service Points 103

49 First Serve In 60

30 First Serve Won 38

21 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 8

6 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Clay Ostrava CH · 2026-04-27

R32

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #293

Maxim Mrva #307

7-6(3) 6-3

3 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 2

65 Service Points 64

36 First Serve In 40

23 First Serve Won 20

17 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrva — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Last 10

Maxim Mrva — Last 10