ATP tennis predict — Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luka Mikrut

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · SF 15:30

Predicted probability

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

29.80%

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

70.20%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.76

Market probability

47.18% / 52.82%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1888 vs 1700), a higher Elo rating (1797 vs 1695) and a stronger serve (66.2% vs 58.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1694.9 Elo 1796.9

1700.0 Elo (surface) 1887.6

133 Wins (Challenger) 60

130 Wins (surface) 53

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.109 Dominance ratio 1.032

233 Rank 239

27.5 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Luka Mikrut

1st Serve In %

66.7%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

62.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.6%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

41.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Luka Mikrut

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

28.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

51.4%

38.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 0 – 1 Luka Mikrut

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-19

SF

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #233

Luka Mikrut #239

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 21

10 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Luka Mikrut #176

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #219

6-3 6-4

9 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 7

53 Service Points 69

37 First Serve In 41

31 First Serve Won 29

11 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 7

1 Break Points Faced 9

22 Winners 13

7 Unforced Errors 16

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luka Mikrut — Prediction