ATP tennis predict — Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Gabriele Piraino

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 15:15

Predicted probability

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

57.81%

Gabriele Piraino

Italy

42.19%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.44

Market probability

61.77% / 38.23%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1650 vs 1575), a higher Elo rating (1628 vs 1571) and more wins on clay courts (126 vs 28).

Player Comparison

1628.3 Elo 1571.1

1649.6 Elo (surface) 1574.8

129 Wins (Challenger) 34

126 Wins (surface) 28

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.038 Dominance ratio 0.949

214 Rank 404

27.4 Age 22.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Gabriele Piraino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Gabriele Piraino

1st Serve In %

66.7%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

55.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

58.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.6%

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Gabriele Piraino

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

50.6%

Break Points Converted %

51.4%

49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 0 – 0 Gabriele Piraino

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #214

Gabriele Piraino #404

6-2 6-2

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 1

42 Service Points 40

28 First Serve In 26

22 First Serve Won 11

9 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Gabriele Piraino — Prediction