ATP tennis predict — Nikolai Barsukov vs Mika Petkovic

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Nikolai Barsukov

Germany

37.28%

Mika Petkovic

Germany

62.72%

Average Odds

3.94 / 1.22

Market probability

23.64% / 76.36%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Petkovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1586 vs 1490), fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.27) and a higher Elo rating (1596 vs 1549).

Player Comparison

1548.8 Elo 1596.1

1489.6 Elo (surface) 1585.9

5 Wins (Challenger) 12

1 Wins (surface) 10

5 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.931 Dominance ratio 0.848

728 Rank 428

19.7 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikolai Barsukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolai Barsukov Mika Petkovic

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

21.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.6%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

75.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

36.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

45.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikolai Barsukov Mika Petkovic

Break Points Saved %

—

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.4%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikolai Barsukov 0 – 0 Mika Petkovic

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Nikolai Barsukov #728

Mika Petkovic #428

6-4 6-7 7-6

6 Aces 7

5 Double Faults 5

116 Service Points 119

63 First Serve In 57

46 First Serve Won 41

32 Second Serve Won 38

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.9 Average Odds 1.2

Nikolai Barsukov vs Mika Petkovic — Prediction