ATP tennis predict — Nikola Slavic vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Nikola Slavic

Sweden

36.52%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

France

63.48%

Average Odds

3.41 / 1.28

Market probability

27.29% / 72.71%

Why This Prediction?

Yanis Ghazouani Durand is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1655 vs 1503), a higher Elo rating (1571 vs 1440) and more career match wins (8 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1439.6 Elo 1571.2

1502.7 Elo (surface) 1654.6

1 Wins (Challenger) 8

1 Wins (surface) 7

1 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

2.321 Dominance ratio 1.111

792 Rank 595

26.0 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikola Slavic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikola Slavic Yanis Ghazouani Durand

1st Serve In %

65.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.27

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

92.3%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

68.4%

61.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.1%

61.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikola Slavic Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikola Slavic 0 – 0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #547

Nikola Slavic #878

4-6 6-3 6-2

6 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 38

8 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Nikola Slavic vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Prediction