ATP tennis predict — Niklas Guttau vs Nikolai Barsukov

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Niklas Guttau

Germany

21.89%

Nikolai Barsukov

Germany

78.11%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.94

Market probability

52.15% / 47.85%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolai Barsukov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1549 vs 1359), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1525 vs 1456) and more aces per game (0.25 vs 0.05).

Player Comparison

1359.5 Elo 1549.3

1456.0 Elo (surface) 1525.4

2 Wins (Challenger) 6

1 Wins (surface) 4

2 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.684 Dominance ratio 0.862

1218 Rank 728

26.6 Age 19.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niklas Guttau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Nikolai Barsukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niklas Guttau Nikolai Barsukov

1st Serve In %

65.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

46.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

25.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

16.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.07

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.6%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niklas Guttau Nikolai Barsukov

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

52.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niklas Guttau 0 – 0 Nikolai Barsukov

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Niklas Guttau #1218

Nikolai Barsukov #728

6-7 7-5 6-3

7 Aces 10

11 Double Faults 7

120 Service Points 110

73 First Serve In 57

52 First Serve Won 46

25 Second Serve Won 21

9 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Niklas Guttau vs Nikolai Barsukov — Prediction