ATP tennis predict — Nikita Filin vs Aidan Mayo

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Nikita Filin

USA

17.10%

Aidan Mayo

USA

82.90%

Average Odds

3.18 / 1.30

Market probability

29.02% / 70.98%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1641 vs 1466), a higher Elo rating (1643 vs 1479) and more wins on hard courts (80 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1479.2 Elo 1642.7

1466.3 Elo (surface) 1640.8

1 Wins (Challenger) 93

1 Wins (surface) 80

1 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.957 Dominance ratio 1.120

1210 Rank 356

20.4 Age 23.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nikita Filin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikita Filin Aidan Mayo

1st Serve In %

—

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.1%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

34.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.48

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nikita Filin Aidan Mayo

Break Points Saved %

—

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nikita Filin and Aidan Mayo have never played each other.

Nikita Filin vs Aidan Mayo — Prediction