ATP tennis predict — Niels Visker vs Vesa Ahti

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Niels Visker

Netherlands

80.00%

Vesa Ahti

Finland

20.00%

Average Odds

1.03 / 13.00

Market probability

92.66% / 7.34%

Why This Prediction?

Niels Visker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1493 vs 1402), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1508 vs 1434) and more career match wins (27 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1492.8 Elo 1401.6

1507.7 Elo (surface) 1433.6

27 Wins (Challenger) 1

6 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.040 Dominance ratio 0.698

453 Rank 2263

24.8 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Vesa Ahti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Vesa Ahti

1st Serve In %

62.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.52

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

39.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

37.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Vesa Ahti

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niels Visker 0 – 0 Vesa Ahti

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Niels Visker #439

Vesa Ahti #2260

6-3 4-6 6-4

11 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 6

73 Service Points 98

39 First Serve In 61

34 First Serve Won 44

24 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 8

2 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 13

Niels Visker vs Vesa Ahti — Prediction