ATP tennis predict — Niels Visker vs Tom Paris

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Niels Visker

Netherlands

55.55%

Tom Paris

France

44.45%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.14

Market probability

56.76% / 43.24%

Why This Prediction?

Niels Visker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1622 vs 1550) and more aces per game (0.24 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1556.4 Elo 1555.5

1621.9 Elo (surface) 1550.2

33 Wins (Challenger) 30

20 Wins (surface) 18

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.083 Dominance ratio 0.847

414 Rank 664

25.0 Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Tom Paris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Tom Paris

1st Serve In %

62.9%

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

78.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

65.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.5%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Tom Paris

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

29.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niels Visker and Tom Paris have never played each other.

Niels Visker vs Tom Paris — Prediction