ATP tennis predict — Niels Visker vs Ryan Nijboer

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Niels Visker

Netherlands

33.52%

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

66.48%

Average Odds

2.27 / 1.58

Market probability

41.04% / 58.96%

Why This Prediction?

Ryan Nijboer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1615 vs 1538), a higher Elo rating (1589 vs 1512) and a stronger return game (46.9% vs 33.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1512.2 Elo 1588.9

1537.8 Elo (surface) 1615.4

27 Wins (Challenger) 48

6 Wins (surface) 44

9 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.004 Dominance ratio 1.257

453 Rank 488

24.8 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Ryan Nijboer

1st Serve In %

62.9%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.5%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

34.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Ryan Nijboer

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

68.6%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

51.5%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

44.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niels Visker 1 – 0 Ryan Nijboer

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Ryan Nijboer #488

Niels Visker #453

6-2 6-3

5 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

50 Service Points 42

32 First Serve In 20

19 First Serve Won 13

6 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Amersfoort CH · 2023-07-17

Q2

Niels Visker #994

Ryan Nijboer #570

7-6(5) 3-6 7-5

8 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

125 Service Points 111

72 First Serve In 83

44 First Serve Won 49

26 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 5

13 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Niels Visker vs Ryan Nijboer — Prediction