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Niels Visker vs Patrik Niklas Salminen — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Niels Visker

Netherlands

63.10%

Average Odds

1.11  /  5.14

Market probability

82.24%  /  17.76%

Why This Prediction?

Niels Visker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1538 vs 1424), a higher Elo rating (1511 vs 1433) and a stronger serve (66.8% vs 63.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1511.1 Elo 1432.8
1537.5 Elo (surface) 1423.8
28 Wins (Challenger) 20
7 Wins (surface) 8
9 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.094 Dominance ratio 1.113
439 Rank 1431
24.8 Age 29.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Patrik Niklas Salminen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Patrik Niklas Salminen

1st Serve In %

62.9%
56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%
85.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%
45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.5%
19.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.52
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%
73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%
51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%
27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%
51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Patrik Niklas Salminen

Break Points Saved %

61.5%
77.8%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%
22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
72.0%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%
36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niels Visker 00 Patrik Niklas Salminen

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Niels Visker #439

Patrik Niklas Salminen #1431

6-3 7-6
6 Aces 4
6 Double Faults 4
70 Service Points 80
35 First Serve In 47
33 First Serve Won 31
18 Second Serve Won 19
4 Break Points Saved 4
4 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 5.1

Niels Visker — Last 10

L L W W W L L W W W

Patrik Niklas Salminen — Last 10

W L L W L W W L L L