ATP tennis predict — Niels Visker vs Niels Mcdonald

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Niels Visker

Netherlands

69.60%

Niels Mcdonald

Germany

30.40%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.17

Market probability

57.11% / 42.89%

Why This Prediction?

Niels Visker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1645 vs 1425), a stronger serve (67.9% vs 59.0% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (21 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1579.5 Elo 1566.0

1645.1 Elo (surface) 1425.1

34 Wins (Challenger) 10

21 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.083 Dominance ratio 0.976

418 Rank 492

25.0 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Niels Mcdonald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Niels Mcdonald

1st Serve In %

62.9%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

59.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.8%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.3%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Niels Mcdonald

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.5%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.2%

46.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niels Visker and Niels Mcdonald have never played each other.

Niels Visker vs Niels Mcdonald — Prediction