ATP tennis predict — Niels Visker vs Alex Barrena

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Niels Visker

Netherlands

45.55%

Alex Barrena

Argentina

54.45%

Average Odds

2.81 / 1.39

Market probability

33.10% / 66.90%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1530.1 Elo 1552.9

1562.8 Elo (surface) 1584.7

29 Wins (Challenger) 75

8 Wins (surface) 75

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.089 Dominance ratio 0.834

439 Rank 263

24.8 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Alex Barrena

1st Serve In %

62.9%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.5%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

54.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

40.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Visker Alex Barrena

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

48.2%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

36.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niels Visker 0 – 0 Alex Barrena

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Niels Visker #439

Alex Barrena #263

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 0

45 Service Points 50

32 First Serve In 34

20 First Serve Won 27

5 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Niels Visker vs Alex Barrena — Prediction