ATP tennis predict — Niels Mcdonald vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Niels Mcdonald

Germany

30.19%

Enrico Dalla Valle

Italy

69.81%

Average Odds

2.19 / 1.62

Market probability

42.52% / 57.48%

Why This Prediction?

Enrico Dalla Valle is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1658 vs 1529), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1671 vs 1550) and a stronger serve (70.2% vs 58.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1529.1 Elo 1658.0

1550.3 Elo (surface) 1671.1

9 Wins (Challenger) 118

9 Wins (surface) 93

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.975 Dominance ratio 1.249

494 Rank 333

None Age 28.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niels Mcdonald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Enrico Dalla Valle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Mcdonald Enrico Dalla Valle

1st Serve In %

64.3%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.4%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

33.8%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

42.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niels Mcdonald Enrico Dalla Valle

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

12.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

57.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niels Mcdonald 0 – 0 Enrico Dalla Valle

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Enrico Dalla Valle #333

Niels Mcdonald #494

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 1

64 Service Points 56

39 First Serve In 29

26 First Serve Won 22

10 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Niels Mcdonald vs Enrico Dalla Valle — Prediction