ATP tennis predict — Nicolas Parizzia vs Theo Papamalamis

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Nicolas Parizzia

Switzerland

17.41%

Theo Papamalamis

France

82.59%

Average Odds

2.89 / 1.37

Market probability

32.16% / 67.84%

Why This Prediction?

Theo Papamalamis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1434 vs 1282), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1455 vs 1363) and more wins on clay courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1282.1 Elo 1434.4

1363.5 Elo (surface) 1454.6

1 Wins (Challenger) 10

0 Wins (surface) 4

1 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.926 Dominance ratio 0.938

1035 Rank 714

27.9 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Parizzia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Theo Papamalamis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Parizzia Theo Papamalamis

1st Serve In %

—

51.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

59.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Parizzia Theo Papamalamis

Break Points Saved %

—

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

20.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

27.4%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Parizzia 0 – 1 Theo Papamalamis

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Theo Papamalamis #654

Nicolas Parizzia #1044

7-6 1-6 7-6

6 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 1

114 Service Points 99

79 First Serve In 70

49 First Serve Won 49

23 Second Serve Won 15

9 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Grass Nottingham 3 challenger · 2026-07-05

qualification - 1. round

Theo Papamalamis #711

Nicolas Parizzia #1173

7-5 6-3

1 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

83 Service Points 71

57 First Serve In 39

36 First Serve Won 24

15 Second Serve Won 13

10 Break Points Saved 8

12 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.8

Nicolas Parizzia vs Theo Papamalamis — Prediction