ATP tennis predict — Nicolas Kicker vs Thomas Faurel

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

61.65%

Thomas Faurel

France

38.35%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.55

Market probability

39.85% / 60.15%

Why This Prediction?

Nicolas Kicker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1625 vs 1491), a higher Elo rating (1595 vs 1490) and more wins on clay courts (184 vs 20).

Player Comparison

1595.2 Elo 1490.4

1624.6 Elo (surface) 1491.1

200 Wins (Challenger) 23

184 Wins (surface) 20

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.933 Dominance ratio 0.799

365 Rank 323

34.0 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel

1st Serve In %

65.9%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

41.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.6%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.7%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.8%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Thomas Faurel

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

69.7%

Break Points Converted %

32.2%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

59.4%

56.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker 0 – 0 Thomas Faurel

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-13

R16

Nicolas Kicker #365

Thomas Faurel #323

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

52 Service Points 53

39 First Serve In 40

31 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Nicolas Kicker vs Thomas Faurel — Prediction