ATP tennis predict — Nicolas Kicker vs Thiago Cigarran

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · qualification - round of 16 16:30

Predicted probability

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

75.33%

Thiago Cigarran

Argentina

24.67%

Average Odds

1.11 / 5.23

Market probability

82.49% / 17.51%

Why This Prediction?

Nicolas Kicker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1660 vs 1455), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1673 vs 1466) and more wins on clay courts (190 vs 18).

Player Comparison

1660.3 Elo 1455.3

1673.1 Elo (surface) 1466.1

206 Wins (Challenger) 18

190 Wins (surface) 18

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.077 Dominance ratio 1.033

345 Rank 617

34.1 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Thiago Cigarran

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Thiago Cigarran

1st Serve In %

65.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.15

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

72.5%

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.8%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Thiago Cigarran

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker 0 – 1 Thiago Cigarran

Clay Asuncion CH · 2026-03-16

R32

Thiago Cigarran #846

Nicolas Kicker #263

5-7 6-2 6-4

6 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

85 Service Points 88

52 First Serve In 57

39 First Serve Won 35

14 Second Serve Won 16

8 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nicolas Kicker vs Thiago Cigarran — Prediction