ATP tennis predict — Nicolas Kicker vs Maxim Mrva

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · F 20:30

Predicted probability

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

36.84%

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

63.16%

Average Odds

2.38 / 1.54

Market probability

39.29% / 60.71%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1704 vs 1630), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1718 vs 1660) and a stronger return game (46.5% vs 42.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1630.5 Elo 1703.9

1660.5 Elo (surface) 1718.4

203 Wins (Challenger) 49

187 Wins (surface) 34

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.034 Dominance ratio 1.213

365 Rank 317

34.0 Age 19.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Maxim Mrva

1st Serve In %

65.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.15

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.6%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.7%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.8%

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Maxim Mrva

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

47.9%

Break Points Converted %

59.4%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker 0 – 1 Maxim Mrva

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-16

F

Maxim Mrva #309

Nicolas Kicker #366

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

46 Service Points 45

30 First Serve In 33

11 First Serve Won 20

3 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Maxim Mrva #317

Nicolas Kicker #365

6-4 6-2

5 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 6

67 Service Points 48

32 First Serve In 34

22 First Serve Won 18

16 Second Serve Won 3

4 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 9