ATP tennis predict — Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinato

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · SF 20:30

Predicted probability

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

33.89%

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

66.11%

Average Odds

3.28 / 1.31

Market probability

28.54% / 71.46%

Why This Prediction?

Marco Cecchinato is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1734 vs 1616), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1744 vs 1646) and a stronger serve (66.6% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1616.2 Elo 1733.7

1645.8 Elo (surface) 1744.3

202 Wins (Challenger) 310

186 Wins (surface) 307

9 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 3

1.039 Dominance ratio 0.941

365 Rank 170

34.0 Age 33.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Marco Cecchinato

1st Serve In %

65.9%

63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

56.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.6%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.7%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.8%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Marco Cecchinato

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

32.2%

37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

65.3%

Break Points Converted %

59.4%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker 1 – 3 Marco Cecchinato

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-15

SF

Nicolas Kicker #365

Marco Cecchinato #170

6-4 4-6 6-2

0 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 3

82 Service Points 85

65 First Serve In 58

48 First Serve Won 37

6 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.3 Average Odds 1.3

Clay Cordoba · 2024-02-05

Q1

Marco Cecchinato #197

Nicolas Kicker #565

6-1 6-4

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

63 Service Points 45

48 First Serve In 29

30 First Serve Won 14

11 Second Serve Won 10

9 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Rome CH · 2017-05-08

R32

Marco Cecchinato #136

Nicolas Kicker #92

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 4

69 Service Points 62

52 First Serve In 38

35 First Serve Won 27

10 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 9

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Sao Paulo · 2017-02-27

Q2

Marco Cecchinato #185

Nicolas Kicker #100

6-1 5-7 6-2

4 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 3

74 Service Points 71

51 First Serve In 51

36 First Serve Won 30

15 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Rio de Janeiro · 2017-02-20

R32

Nicolas Kicker #123

Marco Cecchinato #194

7-5 6-0

2 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

56 Service Points 56

35 First Serve In 34

25 First Serve Won 21

16 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinato — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker — Last 10

Marco Cecchinato — Last 10