ATP tennis predict — Nicolas Kicker vs Francesco Passaro

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · QF 20:30

Predicted probability

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

31.58%

Francesco Passaro

Italy

68.42%

Average Odds

3.31 / 1.30

Market probability

28.20% / 71.80%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Passaro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1688 vs 1603), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1709 vs 1632) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1602.8 Elo 1687.9

1631.9 Elo (surface) 1708.6

201 Wins (Challenger) 121

185 Wins (surface) 103

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.996 Dominance ratio 0.782

365 Rank 219

34.0 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Francesco Passaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Francesco Passaro

1st Serve In %

65.9%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.6%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.7%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.8%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

34.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Francesco Passaro

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.2%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

59.4%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker 0 – 1 Francesco Passaro

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-14

QF

Nicolas Kicker #365

Francesco Passaro #219

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

51 Service Points 48

39 First Serve In 34

29 First Serve Won 17

5 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.3 Average Odds 1.3

Clay Buenos Aires · 2026-02-09

Q1

Francesco Passaro #159

Nicolas Kicker #267

6-3 6-3

8 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 1

55 Service Points 60

41 First Serve In 40

30 First Serve Won 26

11 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nicolas Kicker vs Francesco Passaro — Prediction