ATP tennis predict — Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

36.97%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

63.03%

Average Odds

2.05 / 1.64

Market probability

44.44% / 55.56%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Mena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1728 vs 1656), a higher Elo rating (1702 vs 1644) and a stronger serve (64.4% vs 59.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1643.9 Elo 1702.4

1655.7 Elo (surface) 1728.1

206 Wins (Challenger) 208

190 Wins (surface) 183

9 Last 15 form 12

3 Head-to-head wins 2

1.077 Dominance ratio 1.083

351 Rank 197

34.2 Age 34.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

65.9%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

72.8%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.5%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.3%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Kicker Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

32.2%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

51.9%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker 3 – 2 Facundo Mena

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-25

QF

Facundo Mena #220

Nicolas Kicker #333

6-4 6-4

10 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 29

18 Second Serve Won 12

5 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Clay Lima 2 CH · 2025-11-03

Q2

Nicolas Kicker #278

Facundo Mena #403

3-6 6-2 6-3

1 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 2

84 Service Points 98

57 First Serve In 49

40 First Serve Won 31

12 Second Serve Won 21

8 Break Points Saved 11

11 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Santiago CH · 2022-03-07

R32

Nicolas Kicker #196

Facundo Mena #183

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 3

56 Service Points 54

38 First Serve In 31

26 First Serve Won 20

11 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Santiago 1 CH · 2021-10-04

R16

Facundo Mena #245

Nicolas Kicker #276

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 2

68 Service Points 73

39 First Serve In 37

29 First Serve Won 24

16 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Santiago CH · 2021-03-15

Q1

Nicolas Kicker #972

Facundo Mena #247

6-4 3-6 7-6(3)

5 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 3

100 Service Points 105

72 First Serve In 60

48 First Serve Won 45

16 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 1

11 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Kicker — Last 10

Facundo Mena — Last 10