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Nicolas Barrientos vs Javier Barranco Cosano — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

3.13  /  1.33

Market probability

29.82%  /  70.18%

Why This Prediction?

Javier Barranco Cosano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1622 vs 1528), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1606 vs 1540) and a stronger return game (46.4% vs 37.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1528.1 Elo 1622.3
1540.2 Elo (surface) 1605.5
100 Wins (Challenger) 124
67 Wins (surface) 99
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.028 Dominance ratio 1.023
940 Rank 571
39.4 Age 27.9
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolas Barrientos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Javier Barranco Cosano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Barrientos Javier Barranco Cosano

1st Serve In %

65.0%
64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%
63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%
26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%
51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.9%
58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%
66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%
40.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%
36.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%
55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolas Barrientos Javier Barranco Cosano

Break Points Saved %

53.8%
61.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%
55.1%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%
52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolas Barrientos and Javier Barranco Cosano have never played each other.

Nicolas Barrientos — Last 10

W L L W L W L L W W

Javier Barranco Cosano — Last 10

W L W L W W W L W W