ATP tennis predict — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kyrian Jacquet

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 19:30

Predicted probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Norway

51.92%

Kyrian Jacquet

France

48.08%

Average Odds

2.50 / 1.48

Market probability

37.19% / 62.81%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1557.4 Elo 1677.4

1564.7 Elo (surface) 1541.9

22 Wins 22

10 Wins (surface) 10

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.219 Dominance ratio 1.125

152 Rank 121

20.0 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Kyrian Jacquet

1st Serve In %

57.9%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Kyrian Jacquet

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

62.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

29.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.9%

61.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0 – 0 Kyrian Jacquet

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Kyrian Jacquet #121

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer #152

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 3

75 Service Points 78

48 First Serve In 40

28 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 20

9 Break Points Saved 7

14 Break Points Faced 10

14 Winners 39

20 Unforced Errors 39

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kyrian Jacquet — Prediction