ATP tennis predict — Nico Hipfl vs Lorenzo Giustino

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Nico Hipfl

Austria

29.15%

Lorenzo Giustino

Italy

70.85%

Average Odds

3.51 / 1.28

Market probability

26.72% / 73.28%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Giustino is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1603 vs 1431), a higher Elo rating (1560 vs 1430) and more wins on clay courts (171 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1429.5 Elo 1560.4

1431.0 Elo (surface) 1602.8

0 Wins 39

0 Wins (surface) 24

0 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.360 Dominance ratio 0.879

915 Rank 196

20.3 Age 34.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nico Hipfl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-18.

Lorenzo Giustino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nico Hipfl Lorenzo Giustino

1st Serve In %

57.7%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.0%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nico Hipfl Lorenzo Giustino

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.3%

45.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nico Hipfl 0 – 0 Lorenzo Giustino

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-18

qualification - round of 16

Lorenzo Giustino #196

Nico Hipfl #915

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 2

53 Service Points 52

26 First Serve In 31

21 First Serve Won 27

10 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Nico Hipfl vs Lorenzo Giustino — Prediction