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Nico Hipfl vs Alex Barrena — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · R16 11:30

Predicted probability

Nico Hipfl

Austria

24.59%

Alex Barrena

Argentina

75.41%

Average Odds

3.09  /  1.34

Market probability

30.25%  /  69.75%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Barrena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1639 vs 1447), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1643 vs 1442) and more wins on clay courts (81 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1447.3 Elo 1639.4
1441.5 Elo (surface) 1642.5
2 Wins (Challenger) 81
2 Wins (surface) 81
2 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.052 Dominance ratio 0.948
825 Rank 235
20.4 Age 23.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nico Hipfl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-18.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nico Hipfl Alex Barrena

1st Serve In %

57.7%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.0%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%
49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%
31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%
46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%
53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%
54.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%
40.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%
38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.39
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nico Hipfl Alex Barrena

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.3%
48.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
36.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nico Hipfl 00 Alex Barrena

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-09
6-2 6-7 6-3
6 Aces 1
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
1 Break Points Saved 15
6 Break Points Faced 17
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Nico Hipfl — Last 9

L W L L L L L L W

Alex Barrena — Last 10

W L W W W L W W W L