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Nicholas Godsick vs Erik Arutiunian — Prediction

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Erik Arutiunian

Belarus

86.40%

Average Odds

2.74  /  1.37

Market probability

33.33%  /  66.67%

Why This Prediction?

Erik Arutiunian is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1566 vs 1377), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1567 vs 1362) and more wins on hard courts (16 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1376.6 Elo 1565.7
1361.8 Elo (surface) 1566.5
2 Wins (Challenger) 16
2 Wins (surface) 16
2 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.873 Dominance ratio 1.098
1647 Rank 609
22.0 Age 21.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nicholas Godsick

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Erik Arutiunian

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicholas Godsick Erik Arutiunian

1st Serve In %

53.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

50.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%
67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%
54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%
27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%
46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nicholas Godsick Erik Arutiunian

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%
52.5%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nicholas Godsick 00 Erik Arutiunian

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Erik Arutiunian #609

Nicholas Godsick #1647

6-3 6-1
3 Aces 3
7 Double Faults 0
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
23 First Serve Won 29
1 Second Serve Won 3
0 Break Points Saved 0
1 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Nicholas Godsick — Last 8

L L L W L L L W

Erik Arutiunian — Last 10

L W W L W W L W W W