ATP tennis predict — Niccolo Ciavarella vs Stefano Dagostino

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Niccolo Ciavarella

Italy

69.92%

Stefano Dagostino

Italy

30.08%

Average Odds

3.61 / 1.21

Market probability

25.10% / 74.90%

Why This Prediction?

Niccolo Ciavarella is the favorite, but no single statistic stands out — the edge comes from a broad combination of smaller factors.

Player Comparison

1370.2 Elo 1426.7

1371.1 Elo (surface) 1426.1

0 Wins (Challenger) 1

0 Wins (surface) 1

0 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.778 Dominance ratio 0.778

1045 Rank 753

22.5 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Niccolo Ciavarella

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Stefano Dagostino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niccolo Ciavarella Stefano Dagostino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

53.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Niccolo Ciavarella Stefano Dagostino

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Niccolo Ciavarella 0 – 0 Stefano Dagostino

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Stefano Dagostino #755

Niccolo Ciavarella #1047

6-2 7-6

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.6

Niccolo Ciavarella vs Stefano Dagostino — Prediction