ATP tennis predict — Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donald

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:10

Predicted probability

Nerman Fatic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

66.27%

Matthew William Donald

Czech Republic

33.73%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.37

Market probability

60.77% / 39.23%

Why This Prediction?

Nerman Fatic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1676 vs 1558), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1697 vs 1561) and more wins on clay courts (108 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1676.4 Elo 1558.2

1697.5 Elo (surface) 1561.2

126 Wins (Challenger) 12

108 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.067 Dominance ratio 0.898

417 Rank 461

31.8 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nerman Fatic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Matthew William Donald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nerman Fatic Matthew William Donald

1st Serve In %

61.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.61

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nerman Fatic Matthew William Donald

Break Points Saved %

56.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nerman Fatic 0 – 0 Matthew William Donald

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Nerman Fatic #417

Matthew William Donald #461

7-5 4-6 6-3

8 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 6

111 Service Points 95

62 First Serve In 63

41 First Serve Won 42

30 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donald — Prediction