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Nerman Fatic vs Alec Beckley — Prediction

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Nerman Fatic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

77.73%

Alec Beckley

RSA

22.27%

Average Odds

1.20  /  3.95

Market probability

76.70%  /  23.30%

Why This Prediction?

Nerman Fatic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1693 vs 1403), a higher Elo rating (1669 vs 1511) and more wins on clay courts (107 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1668.7 Elo 1511.1
1692.8 Elo (surface) 1403.2
125 Wins (Challenger) 8
107 Wins (surface) 1
8 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.064 Dominance ratio 1.115
411 Rank 553
31.8 Age 25.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nerman Fatic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Alec Beckley

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nerman Fatic Alec Beckley

1st Serve In %

61.9%
58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%
66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%
43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
20.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%
42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.61
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%
59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%
68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%
45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%
34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%
51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nerman Fatic Alec Beckley

Break Points Saved %

56.6%
40.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%
59.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%
41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nerman Fatic 00 Alec Beckley

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Nerman Fatic #417

Alec Beckley #560

6-7 6-4 6-2
4 Aces 6
3 Double Faults 3
105 Service Points 90
61 First Serve In 41
42 First Serve Won 30
26 Second Serve Won 29
5 Break Points Saved 6
6 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Nerman Fatic — Last 10

L W W W L W W L W W

Alec Beckley — Last 10

L L L W L W W W L W