ATP tennis predict — Mykyta Mashtakov vs Stefan Popovic

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Mykyta Mashtakov

Ukraine

33.94%

Stefan Popovic

Serbia

66.06%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.78

Market probability

66.51% / 33.49%

Why This Prediction?

Stefan Popovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1511 vs 1488), a stronger return game (41.1% vs 35.6% of return points won) and a stronger serve (62.0% vs 58.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1487.8 Elo 1500.1

1487.9 Elo (surface) 1510.9

5 Wins (Challenger) 9

5 Wins (surface) 9

5 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.863 Dominance ratio 1.080

576 Rank 630

27.5 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mykyta Mashtakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Stefan Popovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mykyta Mashtakov Stefan Popovic

1st Serve In %

68.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

51.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

25.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.00

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.8%

66.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.4%

34.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mykyta Mashtakov Stefan Popovic

Break Points Saved %

46.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

50.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mykyta Mashtakov 0 – 0 Stefan Popovic

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Mykyta Mashtakov #576

Stefan Popovic #630

7-5 7-6

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

84 Service Points 91

55 First Serve In 65

35 First Serve Won 35

12 Second Serve Won 13

7 Break Points Saved 6

11 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Mykyta Mashtakov vs Stefan Popovic — Prediction