ATP tennis predict — Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes De La Torre

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Murphy Cassone

USA

33.24%

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Spain

66.76%

Average Odds

2.23 / 1.51

Market probability

40.37% / 59.63%

Why This Prediction?

Inaki Montes De La Torre is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1756 vs 1635), a higher Elo rating (1745 vs 1648) and a stronger return game (43.6% vs 34.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1648.4 Elo 1745.2

1635.1 Elo (surface) 1755.9

80 Wins (Challenger) 79

72 Wins (surface) 51

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.906 Dominance ratio 1.145

307 Rank 274

24.1 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Murphy Cassone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murphy Cassone Inaki Montes De La Torre

1st Serve In %

67.9%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

55.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

36.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Murphy Cassone Inaki Montes De La Torre

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.7%

44.9%

Break Points Converted %

57.9%

36.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Murphy Cassone 0 – 0 Inaki Montes De La Torre

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Murphy Cassone #330

Inaki Montes De La Torre #222

6-3 7-6

6 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

39 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.5

Murphy Cassone vs Inaki Montes De La Torre — Prediction